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Decision engine · preliminary screen

Should you buy this deal?

Enter the deal on the left. One amortising schedule runs it from purchase through sale, and six gates decide the verdict: PROCEED (buy it), RESTRUCTURE (fix something first), or WALK AWAY (don't buy it). Every gate shows what it required and what your deal actually returned, so you can see exactly which one binds.

WALK AWAYRESTRUCTUREPROCEED3/7 gatescleared
Live decision-support engine

Verdict: PASS

Reserves Below Lender Minimum — Liquid reserves $0 against a $15,276 lender minimum — short by $15,276 (0% of requirement).

Deal & borrower

Estimates are fine for screening. The page never treats an estimate as a lender approval: state, insurance, and post-close reserves still need review.

Note rate — solved, not entered6.250%

The engine prices this rate off the FICO and LTV grid. It is an output, not an input — an editable rate field here would have changed nothing on screen.

Preliminary modeled verdict

Manual review required — incomplete state, prepayment-penalty, insurance, or reserve evidence means this is not an approval recommendation.

PASS
Binding constraintReserves Below Lender Minimum — Liquid reserves $0 against a $15,276 lender minimum — short by $15,276 (0% of requirement).
Track 1 DSCR
1.18x
floor 0.75
Rent vs PITIA
RentPay
$3,000 rent$2,546 PITIA
Track 2 monthly carry
-$386per month after operating expenses · Track 2 DSCR 0.848×
After-tax IRR-10.8%Graded A ≥15% · B ≥12% · C ≥8%
Pre-tax levered IRR-8.8%5-yr hold, exit at 5.63% cap
Year-1 cash-on-cash-3.4%On $131,088 cash invested · signed, not floored at zero
Equity multiple0.61×Break-even year not within hold

Read this before the IRR: you are buying at a 4.88% entry cap and the schedule sells at a 5.63% exit cap — a 0.75% spread against you. That spread, not the rent, is usually what decides the return grade. Change the exit cap on the left to see the verdict move.

Preliminary estimate — not a commitment to lend. Submit a scenario review for exact underwriting.

Scenario evidence review

State and prepayment-penalty rules are calculated from the existing governed matrix. Insurance and reserves are reported inputs that must be confirmed in the actual lender file.

Prepayment-penalty review for an unselected stateUNKNOWN · UNSPECIFIED is not a recognized jurisdiction in the PPP rules matrix. Verify the state before quoting a prepayment-penalty structure.
Insurance evidenceNo bindable quote confirmed. The annual insurance amount remains a modeled estimate until a quote is reviewed.
Conservative eligible reserves$0 modeled eligible against $22,913 required. Manual review remains required before relying on this scenario.
Why — the gates PROCEED must clear

These are the exact gates the verdict evaluated, in the order it evaluated them — not a second scoring system. The first FAIL is the binding constraint quoted above. 3 of 7 cleared.

Monte Carlo tail risk — modeled

0.2% P(DSCR < 1.00) against a 15% blocker threshold, and a 5th-percentile DSCR of 1.09× against a 0.80 floor. Either breach registers as a hard blocker in the first gate above. 50,000 simulated paths, seed 42, which puts one standard error on that probability at ±0.020 percentage points — a seeded model of this scenario, not a forecast, not a lender's assessment.

No hard blockersRequires: 0 BLOCKER criteria triggeredDeal shows: 1 triggered (Reserves Below Lender Minimum)FAIL
At least one eligible lenderRequires: ≥ 1 evaluated program eligibleDeal shows: 7 eligible of 7 evaluatedCLEAR
Track 1 cushion above the lender floorRequires: Track 1 DSCR ≥ 0.800 (floor 0.75 + 0.05 cushion)Deal shows: Track 1 DSCR 1.178CLEAR
Track 2 carry, or an acknowledged thesisRequires: Track 2 DSCR ≥ 1.000, or an explicit acknowledgment with a $/mo thesis that covers the bleedDeal shows: Track 2 DSCR 0.848 — no acknowledgment on fileFAIL
Return grade B or betterRequires: Return grade ≤ B on after-tax IRRDeal shows: grade F on after-tax IRR -10.8%FAIL
Rate headroom before the deal breaksRequires: ≥ 50 bpsDeal shows: 210 bpsCLEAR
Manual underwriting evidence reviewRequires: Current state/PPP, bindable insurance, and documented eligible reserves recordedDeal shows: Property State Not Selected; PPP Review Not Established; Bindable Insurance Quote Not Confirmed; Eligible Reserve Evidence Not Documented; Conservative Reserve ShortfallFAIL
Track 2 negative carry — acknowledgment required

Track 1 DSCR 1.178 against a lender floor of 0.75, but Track 2 DSCR 0.848 is below 1.0 — a bleed of $386/mo. No acknowledgment is on file. PROCEED requires an explicit acknowledgment whose appreciation or after-tax thesis, stated in $/mo, at least covers the bleed.

Criteria flagged — 8

BLOCKER = the deal cannot proceed as structured. WARNING = disclose and address. ACKNOWLEDGMENT = the investor must sign off in writing.

PPP Review Not EstablishedWARNING

UNSPECIFIED is not a recognized jurisdiction in the PPP rules matrix. Verify the state before quoting a prepayment-penalty structure.

Action: Select a recognized property state and confirm vesting, loan amount, unit count, and product type before relying on prepayment economics.

Property State Not SelectedWARNING

No two-letter property state is selected, so state-specific tax, market-overlay, and PPP assumptions cannot be reviewed.

Action: Select the property state before relying on the modeled verdict.

Bindable Insurance Quote Not ConfirmedWARNING

The annual insurance input is an estimate until a bindable quote or binder is confirmed.

Action: Obtain and review a current bindable insurance quote before relying on the modeled verdict.

Eligible Reserve Evidence Not DocumentedWARNING

Reserve assets are not documented as eligible and retained after closing. Self-reported balances are not lender verification.

Action: Have a human reviewer confirm current asset statements, eligibility, and post-close availability.

Appraisal Rent Break Point ExceededWARNING

Appraisal break point 15.10% > 4.83% threshold.

Action: Renegotiate price or increase down payment to cover appraisal gap.

Reserves Below Lender MinimumBLOCKER

Liquid reserves $0 against a $15,276 lender minimum — short by $15,276 (0% of requirement).

Action: Document additional liquid reserves, reduce the loan amount, or pass. Reserves are a closing condition, not a preference.

Best-Fit Lender Not Confidence-ScoredWARNING

No confidence score exists for the best-fit lender, so the <60 threshold cannot be applied. Absence of a score is not a passing score.

Action: Verify the lender terms directly against a dated rate sheet before proceeding.

Track 2 Negative CarryACKNOWLEDGMENT

Track 2 DSCR 0.848 < 1.0 — deal qualifies but loses money monthly. Monthly bleed is $386/mo. No acknowledgment is on file.

Action: Record an explicit acknowledgment with an appreciation or after-tax thesis stated in $/mo that at least covers the bleed. Without one this deal cannot PROCEED.

Programs evaluated — 7 of 7 eligible

Every program is evaluated and shown, eligible or not. An empty or all-ineligible list is a PASS — "no lender was checked" is never read as "a lender said yes".

Greenstreet MapleBEST FIT
DSCR floor 0.75 · offers 85% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Oak
DSCR floor 0.75 · offers 85% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Birch
DSCR floor 0.00 · offers 80% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Cedar
DSCR floor 0.75 · offers 80% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Aspen
DSCR floor 0.75 · offers 80% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Willow
DSCR floor 0.80 · offers 80% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Greenstreet Magnolia
DSCR floor 1.00 · offers 80% LTV · needs 75%
MEETS GUIDELINES
Credit memo (draft) — PASS

Generated modeling, not an underwriting decision.

This restates the verdict, schedule and program evaluation already on this page in investment-committee format. No lender, credit officer or investment committee has seen it. Nothing on it is an approval, a rate quote, a commitment to lend, or a legal or tax conclusion. Anything this page could not establish reads "not established" — it is never filled in with a plausible number.

Header
PropertyAddress not provided
Projected vestingLLC
Drafted9/19/2026, 8:19:25 AM
Modeled verdictPASS
Binding constraint and kill switch

Reserves Below Lender Minimum — Liquid reserves $0 against a $15,276 lender minimum — short by $15,276 (0% of requirement).

Flips the verdict: Verdict is already PASS; no rate move degrades it further (deal-break rate 8.35%).

Credit — three metrics
Track 1 DSCR1.18×
Program DSCR floor0.75×
Debt yield (target 9%)6.50%
LTV75%
Program LTV cap85%
Deal-break rate8.350%
Rate cushion210 bps
Return stack
Entry cap rate4.88%
Year-1 cash-on-cash-3.4%
Pre-tax levered IRR-8.8%
Pre-tax IRR, 10th percentilenot established
Pre-tax IRR, 90th percentilenot established
After-tax IRR-10.8%
Return gradeF
Equity multiple0.61×
Property tax — seller's current bill$5,000
Property tax — modeled after reassessment$4,038

This screen models the annual property tax you entered. The reassessment figure is state law applied to your purchase price — reported here, not underwritten into the DSCR above. The IRR percentile band is not established: this page simulates the DSCR tail, not a distribution of returns.

Probabilistic stress
P(DSCR < 1.00)0.2%
5th-percentile DSCR1.09×

P(DSCR<1.00) 0.2% and a 5th-percentile DSCR of 1.09×, from 50,000 seeded paths (seed 42). Modeled, not observed.

Conditions
InsuranceUNCONFIRMED — manual review required
Short-term-rental legalityN/A (LTR)
Reserves — likely$15,276
Reserves — conservative$22,913
Reserves — stress$30,551

Prepayment: UNKNOWN — UNSPECIFIED is not a recognized jurisdiction in the PPP rules matrix. Verify the state before quoting a prepayment-penalty structure.

Risk statement

Property: Address not provided (LLC). Qualification: Track 1 DSCR 1.178 vs lender floor 0.75 — cushion 0.428. Return: After-tax IRR -10.8% (Grade F), equity multiple 0.61x. Risk: Binding risk = Reserves Below Lender Minimum — Liquid reserves $0 against a $15,276 lender minimum — short by $15,276 (0% of requirement).. P(DSCR<1.00) = 0.2%. Structural condition that flips verdict: Verdict is already PASS; no rate move degrades it further (deal-break rate 8.35%)..

Assumptions

· Hold period 5 yr, exit modeled at a 5.63% cap rate — both entered on this page.

· Note rate 6.250% solved from the FICO and LTV pricing grid. An engine output, not a lender quote.

· Program eligibility read from the Jun 24, 2026 matrix, which carries no pricing.

· Rent growth 2%/yr, vacancy 8%, management 8%, maintenance 5%, capex reserve 5% — model defaults with no dated source.

· Selling costs 6% of sale price. Ordinary tax 32%, state tax 5%, land allocation 20%.

· The DSCR above uses the annual property tax entered on this page. A post-sale reassessment is reported but not underwritten into it.

Sources
Greenstreet DSCR program matrices2026-06-24 · verified primary
DSCR rate anchor & pricing grid2026-06-17 · verified primary
Federal tax rules (OBBBA bonus depreciation, §1250 recapture)2026-06-01 · verified primary
State property-insurance base-rate tablenot established · unverified

UNVALIDATED DECISION-SUPPORT MODEL. This output is an educational scenario based on user-entered assumptions and internally configured weights that are not empirically calibrated. It is not a loan commitment, credit decision, appraisal, rate quote, provider match, legal or tax conclusion, investment recommendation, or prediction. Rates, provider guidelines, jurisdiction rules, insurance, taxes, and transaction facts can change and require current primary sources plus review by the responsible licensed or qualified professional. Do not rely on this output for a financing, legal, tax, or investment decision.

Return grade
A: after-tax IRR ≥15% and Track 2 ≥1.10 · B: ≥12% and Track 2 ≥1.00 · C: ≥8% · D: below 8% · F: negative
F
Grade F: after-tax IRR is negative or unestablished, or Track 2 DSCR is negative (the property does not produce positive net operating income). Do not proceed.
Acquisition score
A separate 0–100 weighting of cash flow, feasibility, reserves, exit liquidity and rate risk. It informs; it does not decide.
57
Marginal
Where the program terms come from

Source and review date for every dated dataset this verdict reads. Reviewed as of August 2026.

Greenstreet DSCR program matricesJune 2026
Program eligibility, LTV caps and the lender DSCR floor used by the verdict. Source: dscrPrograms.ts header: program matrices pulled 2026-06-24 from the wholesale lending partner; exported as DSCR_PROGRAMS_AS_OF = "Jun 24, 2026". Re-verified every 90 days.
DSCR rate anchor & pricing gridSTALE · June 2026
The solved note rate, the deal-break rate and the rate-headroom gate. Source: engine.ts §6 "RATE CALIBRATION — JUNE 2026 (verified 2026-06-17)"; BASE_RATE_ANCHOR = 6.125% par at 740 FICO / 70% LTV. Re-verified every 30 days.
Federal tax rules (OBBBA bonus depreciation, §1250 recapture)June 2026
Depreciation, interest deduction and recapture inside the after-tax IRR. Source: taxEngine.ts header: "SOURCES (verified June 2026)". OBBBA_EFFECTIVE_DATE = "2025-01-19" is the statutory acquisition cutoff (100% bonus depreciation, permanent), not a verification date; IRC §168(k). Re-verified every 365 days.
State property-insurance base-rate tableUNDATED
Insurance is a user input here; this table is the fallback the engine would otherwise use. Source: insuranceEstimate.ts INSURANCE_BASE_RATE_PER_1000 — described only as "NAIC/Bankrate-sourced". No pull date, vintage year, or citation date appears anywhere in the file, and repo history is squashed so commit dates prove nothing. Re-verified every 365 days.

6 of the registry's datasets are past their refresh cadence today. Verify against current sources before relying on this verdict.

Assumptions with no dated source

The cash-flow schedule needs these to run, and no sourced value for them exists in this repository. They are model defaults, not researched figures — read every return above with that in mind.

Rent growth2% / yr
Vacancy8% of gross rent
Management8%
Maintenance5%
Turnover2%
Capex reserve5% of effective gross income
Selling costs6% of sale price
Ordinary tax rate32%
State tax rate5%
Land allocation20% (non-depreciable)

Property taxes, insurance, hold period and exit cap rate are NOT on this list — they are the figures you entered on the left.

What flips this verdict

· Verdict is already PASS; no rate move degrades it further (deal-break rate 8.35%).

· Verdict is already PASS; no Track 1 DSCR move degrades it further (lender floor 0.75).

How PROCEED is decided: all six gates above must clear — no hard blockers, at least one eligible program, Track 1 DSCR at least 0.05 above the program floor, Track 2 at or above 1.00 (or an acknowledged $/mo thesis that covers the bleed), a return grade of B or better on the after-tax IRR, and at least 50 basis points of rate headroom. Any missing input is treated as a failure, never as a pass. Unvalidated decision-support model. Preliminary estimate — not a commitment to lend, a rate quote, or a credit decision. Final terms subject to full underwriting.